Kumamoto Prefecture¶
The capital is Kumamoto City (a designated city). A new semiconductor plant has raised land prices and housing demand around Kikuyo and nearby towns.
Current phase¶
Early correction (simplified) (adjustment pressure 53 / 100, confidence low, as of 2026-Q1)
There are no monthly market statistics for this area, so this is a simplified call based on MLIT's quarterly closing data (year-on-year change in price per m² and in counts, and consecutive quarters of decline). For prefectures it also uses the gap between official land prices and land transaction prices in the same districts, and the year-on-year change in resident population. The data lag about three months.
What to watch: Land prices near the plant and housing demand in Kumamoto City.
Resale condominium closing prices (MLIT)¶
Price per m² in units of ¥10,000 (万円). Quarters with fewer than 10 closings are not shown.
| Quarter | Median price per m² (¥10k) | Closings |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 Q2 | 25.9 | 99 |
| 2024 Q3 | 24.0 | 98 |
| 2024 Q4 | 21.1 | 111 |
| 2025 Q1 | 27.5 | 79 |
| 2025 Q2 | 24.0 | 89 |
| 2025 Q3 | 20.0 | 87 |
| 2025 Q4 | 25.0 | 94 |
| 2026 Q1 | 24.4 | 102 |
- Year-on-year change in median price per m²: -11.2% (2026 Q1)
By floor plan (resale condominiums, last 4 quarters)¶
2025 Q2 to 2026 Q1. Floor plans with fewer than 10 closings are not shown. "S" (service room) is not counted as a room.
| Floor plan | Closings | Median price (¥10k) | Median per m² (¥10k) | Median size (m²) | Per m², year on year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Studio / 1K / 1DK | 37 | 250 | 10.4 | 25.0 | +4.0% |
| 1LDK | 13 | 1,600 | 29.1 | 55.0 | -41.2% |
| 2 rooms (2K-2LDK) | 72 | 2,150 | 30.6 | 65.0 | +18.5% |
| 3 rooms (3K-3LDK) | 174 | 1,900 | 24.6 | 75.0 | -4.9% |
| 4 rooms or more | 75 | 2,000 | 23.3 | 90.0 | +5.2% |
Houses and land (MLIT)¶
Transaction prices from MLIT's survey of registered sales. Prices in ¥10,000. Quarters with fewer than 20 deals are not shown.
| Quarter | Median house price (¥10k) | House deals | Houses under ¥10m | Median land price per m² (¥10k) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 Q2 | 2,100 | 351 | 27.1% | 2.1 |
| 2025 Q3 | 1,600 | 297 | 35.4% | 3.2 |
| 2025 Q4 | 2,300 | 317 | 27.8% | 3.1 |
| 2026 Q1 | 1,800 | 193 | 34.7% | 2.5 |
Official land prices (Chika Koji, MLIT)¶
Prices of standard sites as of 1 January each year (published in March). The change is the average for sites that continue from the previous year.
| Year | Use | Median (¥ per m²) | Change | Sites |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Commercial | 93,000 | +3.1% | 77 |
| 2025 | Commercial | 97,000 | +3.4% | 76 |
| 2026 | Commercial | 104,500 | +3.2% | 76 |
| 2024 | Residential | 49,700 | +2.5% | 163 |
| 2025 | Residential | 51,750 | +3.1% | 160 |
| 2026 | Residential | 53,750 | +2.7% | 160 |
This service uses the API of the MLIT Real Estate Information Library, but the timeliness, accuracy and completeness of the information provided are not guaranteed. (このサービスは、国土交通省不動産情報ライブラリのAPI機能を使用していますが、提供情報の最新性、正確性、完全性等が保証されたものではありません。)
Figures are medians of individual transactions and change with the mix of what sold. Regime labels are our own interpretation, not investment advice.